International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V10

[SandisLL]

Some worry in Wall street journal that ukr might run out of anti-air missiles by may according to leaked documents.

https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/uk...y-may-leaked-pentagon-documents-warn-b96b0655

Something new? After 400+ days to post known by everyone obivious stuff like " hot news "?

It is openly known 400 + days in row that ...
A. Majority of SAM systems Ukr had used and today are using are....USSR era S-300, Buk, OSA, these Strela -10 etc and that there is concern that they will run out of missiles stocpiles....

 

[SandisLL]

Fake news for sure, Russia is doing even better then before the sanctions and boycotts, not to mention spending a 3rd of their money of Military. It's weird but somehow they are doing great....according to some.

Sure...
Best irreversible sanctions on russia are energy solutions in europe and weapons supplies to this Ukr....
Btw long term stuff like energy solutions huilo and his ass lickers in west anyway will not be able to " remove ".
Russia never ever will be able to sell previous natural gas ammounts to europe and working Nord Stream I and II anyway will not be able to help here....even crybabies in west supporting huilo will not be able to help.......sanctions remowal too will not help....

 

[Badr Hari]

 

[DEVILsSON]

The thing with the leaks is that there has been so many recently both sides will take any leak with a grain of salt unless otherwise proven. Leaks have always been a part of any military gameplan especially when a massive counter offensive is involved.

Good point.

Just like Russians selectively changed their losses in that leak. Ukrainians could have just as easily left all the numbers of munitions that the West/US is set to deliver but put fake potential targets for the offensive....should be interesting...

 

[Queen B]

 

[Versez]

Whelp , now Egypt is on board. We have less and less allies.

 

[Badr Hari]

Never believe a 'leaked' document. Nothing is leaking anymore in this day and age or going unnoticed, especially 40 000 rockets. It's all intentional publications for a certain political goal. Everyone and their parents knows that El-Sisi is in power only because Washington allows him, or better say, keeps him.

 

[Badr Hari]

Sorry for sneaking in a Belarus video in the Russia/Ukraine thread:

 

[Siver!]

I can believe this.

Egyptian authorities serve only themselves, and will do anything for a quick dollar.

It also checks out that they'd be daft enough to think nobody would ever know because 'secret'.

And yeah, I do know a bit about Egypt.

 

[Siver!]

Russia posted a $29 billion deficit in the first quarter as energy revenue plummets — and it could spell trouble for the country's military bills

Russia's energy revenues may not be able to foot its military bills for long— the country just posted a $29 billion deficit in the first quarter. Contributor/Getty Images

"Russia's spending jumped 34% in 1Q to 8.1 trillion rubles, or $99 billion, amid the Ukraine war.

• However, energy revenues plunged 45% to 1.6 trillion rubles due to boycotts and sanctions.
• As a result, Russia posted a deficit of 2.4 trillion rubles in the first quarter of 2023.

Russia's falling energy revenues may not be able to foot its military bills for long — the country's just posted an almost $30 billion deficit in the first quarter.

The Kremlin has wildly reversed a 1.13-trillion-ruble, or $14 billion, surplus in the first quarter of 2022, to post a 2.4 trillion ruble quarterly budget deficit this year as the country's expenditures exceeded its revenues.

Government income declined nearly 21% to 5.7 trillion rubles during the quarter compared to a year ago, per data released by Russia's finance ministry on Friday. In particular, Russia posted a 45% plunge in energy revenues to 1.64 trillion rubles due to a fall in prices for Russia's flagship Urals oil grade and a decline in natural gas exports.

The Russian finance ministry did not explain why expenditures spiked so sharply, but the country's defense spending went over budget by 54% in 2022, according to Gaidar Institute, an independent Moscow-based think tank, Reuters reported on April 4.

The country is likely to continue plowing money into defense and security, with combined spending expected to hit 9.4 trillion rubles in 2023, according to a Reuters budget analysis in November. That's nearly one-third of the national budget.

The Kremlin plans to post a deficit of no more than 2% of its GDP in 2023, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov told the state-owned Rossiya 24 news channel on February 17, per Reuters. However, analysts told the news agency the deficit will likely exceed 2%, with one estimate coming in in the 4% to 5% range."

Russia posted a $29 billion deficit in the first quarter as energy revenue plummets — and it could spell trouble for the country's military bills (msn.com)

Yeah, Pres. Putin took the passports of the Oligarchs for good reason. He's not going to let them take "his" money and flee the country.

That's amazing!

I truly believed that, somehow, magically, the Russian economy would be powerful enough to sink the entire Western world based on a military dispute, while simultaneously benefitting.

It makes SO MUCH SENSE.

 

[AWilder]

from the people who brought you samurai sword wielding hellfires comes this new weapon!

 

[San Marino]

Something not quite right about that statement (top-to-bottom):
. Division
. Brigade
. Regiment
. Battalion
. Company
. Platoon

 

[grimballer]

No no no, @grimballer assures me their economy is thriving and it's the West which is teetering on the brink of ruin
And that must be true, he read it on the dirty old sack his rotten turnips came in last month

this is it!!! russia is about to collapse and putin is hiding in his bunker and will be removed in a coup any minute now

i know we heard it dozen times before, but this time its gonna actually happen

 

[San Marino]

Impressive!
. Putin's men build 45-mile 'mega trench' behind frontline in Ukraine (msn.com)
"In a major sign of waning confidence, Russian forces have built a vast fortified trench well behind the frontline in Ukraine. The defensive lines stretch continuously across 45 miles of occupied Ukrainian countryside, according to analysis of publicly available satellite images by the independent Crimean Centre for Investigative Journalism. It cuts across the southern region of Zaporizhzhia, more than 50 miles into Russian-held territory and hundreds of miles away from the most active warzone around the eastern city of Bakhmut. -- Trench warfare has largely died out due to advances in modern tactics as it is associated with high-casualty offences for little strategic gain. It has been virtually unheard of in the 21st century outside of eastern Ukraine."

 

[lsa]

 

[Badr Hari]

Something not quite right about that statement (top-to-bottom):
. Division
. Brigade
. Regiment
. Battalion
. Company
. Platoon

Could be totally fake, I have no clue!

 

[PBAC]

Looking at recent combat footage can't help but notice the same old thing. Ukranian tanks squaring off against entrenched Russian infantry with no infantry support of their own. There's zero consideration for a tactical approach and they basically park the tank over the trench and try blast the soldiers out. Trenches are sort of known for being good defence against tank fire so it makes me wonder who is designing these tactics. In the beginning the two tanks split up with one just seeming to vanish during the exchange. When Russia was being balsey in the beginning they were doing the same thing: unescorted tanks popping grind maneuvers on freeways and random lone soldiers breaking into buildings. Something about this whole conflict looks like a bunch of dudes who just want to fight without a central command. The logistics of everything looks all over the place on both sides.

 

[Cole train]

Impressive!
. Putin's men build 45-mile 'mega trench' behind frontline in Ukraine (msn.com)
"In a major sign of waning confidence, Russian forces have built a vast fortified trench well behind the frontline in Ukraine. The defensive lines stretch continuously across 45 miles of occupied Ukrainian countryside, according to analysis of publicly available satellite images by the independent Crimean Centre for Investigative Journalism. It cuts across the southern region of Zaporizhzhia, more than 50 miles into Russian-held territory and hundreds of miles away from the most active warzone around the eastern city of Bakhmut. -- Trench warfare has largely died out due to advances in modern tactics as it is associated with high-casualty offences for little strategic gain. It has been virtually unheard of in the 21st century outside of eastern Ukraine."

Thats one badly built trench looking from this angle, though they might still improve it

 

[SandisLL]

Looking at recent combat footage can't help but notice the same old thing. Ukranian tanks squaring off against entrenched Russian infantry with no infantry support of their own. There's zero consideration for a tactical approach and they basically park the tank over the trench and try blast the soldiers out. Trenches are sort of known for being good defence against tank fire so it makes me wonder who is designing these tactics. In the beginning the two tanks split up with one just seeming to vanish during the exchange. When Russia was being balsey in the beginning they were doing the same thing: unescorted tanks popping grind maneuvers on freeways and random lone soldiers breaking into buildings. Something about this whole conflict looks like a bunch of dudes who just want to fight without a central command. The logistics of everything looks all over the place on both sides.

Well, yeah, some clips made me suspicious.
And I'm not talking about infantry support....

Tanks used for offense in open field should have guarded flanks ( sides ) directly or indirectly.....
Preferably provided by BMPs or BTRs ( APCs )....
While this didn't had used at all....

It is breech of textbook rules taught for the same USSR forces and East Germany forces during Cold War Era....

 

[SandisLL]

BTW I'm really sceptical about Ukr counter offensive....
1. If all supplies are these openly awailable in mainstream mass media?
It is barely sufficient to slow down rus offensive not to " regain " territories.
Point here is JUST to slow down...
2. Russia had a lot of time to prepare for possible Ukr offensive.
They for a reason had ordered to dig trenches and install fortifications in areas they managed to capture...
Therefore these shovels mando usage and generous supply with them.
3. Russia does have a lot of anti tank and anti infantry mines and had damn a lot of time to install them + bobby traps etc and a lot of this stuff...
4. If defense is properly prepared and defenders well supplied attackers really might have 3:1 - 10:1 loss ratio vs defenders ....
In this scenario not good for Ukr...

From economical point ofc all is " cool " for Russia.
India and Xi pressing prices down as much as it is possible, pressing on their own terms and rules and Russia can't tell any bare thing here in reality....
Europe shifting energy policy, boosting next renewables bubble and heat insulation materials sales paradise ....
Cool that in 2022 th electricity, NG and gasoline & diesel fuel & fuel oil prices had peaked up. For long term it is beautiful outcome for europe...