That's still the most likely outcome here.
For all that's said about Tommy's last fight, the guy he fought clearly had much better footwork and defensive instincts than Jake Paul, and was there to survive/spoil over 4 rounds. It's a bit of a trap to make strong judgements based on that fight.
If you just look at them both side by side, it's pretty obvious Tommy is much further ahead in his development and can do a lot more, as well as being more talented physically.
Wait until the Paul fans drive the price up and bet big on Fury, it's a mismatch.