UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Props and Parlays 6pm ET 3-9

[Dillydilly]

This thread is for the general discussion of the event UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Props and Parlays 6pm ET 3-9. Please add to the discussion here.


To Make a Parlay:

Use one of these sites
https://fightodds.io/ or
Bet on UFC-Mma Odds and Props | Bovada or
https://www.bestfightodds.com/ to find the odds you want to combine
https://www.proboxingodds.com/ for Boxing

Then Go to:
https://www.vegasinsider.com/parlay-calculator/ or
Alternate new unltd Parlay Calculator: https://www.scoresandodds.com/parlay-calculator
On the parlay calculator set bet amount to "1" then type the odds of each outcome in then click "Calculate." Where it says "parlay payout" is the odds.

legendtony
Almeida -103
st. Denis -205
Burns +155
6.48

KDR 3 PIECE
Sean O'Malley -278
JDM -162
Robelis Despaigne -345
1.84

WHO AINT GOT JIU-JITSU?!
Dustin P by Sub +1000
MVP by Dec +225
34.75

My wood beats Yadong
Joanne Wood +185
Yadong -105
4.56

You cut yadong with blaydes now it burns
Yadong -105
Curtis Blaydes -108
Gilber Burns +136
7.87

The family table
O'Malley -278
The Diamond +170
MVP +110
JDM -162
Yan -115
Jalton -112
43.12

Doughie#1
Holland / MVP fight ends ITD + 120
Poirier / Saint Denis fight ends ITD - 375
Burns / Maddalena fight ends ITD - 195
Almeida/Blaydes ends ITD - 225
5.09

Doughie#2
Gamrot - 325
Holland - 125
Saint Denis - 205
Burns + 160
8.11

Doughie#3
Lins + 108
Holland ITD + 255
Almeida/Blaydes ends ITD - 225
9.67

Doughie#4
Yadong + 118
Benoit ITD - 150
Chookagian/Barber fights over 2.5rds - 339
Wood / Moroz fights over 2.5rds - 270
5.45

Doughie#5 The Fifth Dimension
Yadong + 118
Benoit ITD - 150
Burns + 160
Gamrot - 325
Moroz - 218
17.02

Doughie#6 Go Big or Go Home
Poirier + 190
Vera + 242
Maddalena by TKO/KO + 165
Gamrot - 325
Moroz - 218
49.14

Doughie#7 Blake's Seven
Burns / Madda fight ends ITD - 195
Almeida/Blaydes ends ITD - 225
Phillips - 204
Despaigne by TKO/KO - 265
Vera / O'Malley fight goes over 2.5rds - 325
Almabaev wins ITD - 140
Moroz - 218
13.67

Doughie#8
Saint Denis ITD - 150
Holland / Page fight ends ITD + 120
2.67

Jyo 1
Benoit Saint-Denis -210
Robelis Despaigne/Josh Parisian -1000 Fight doesn't go to decision
0.62

Jyo 2
Robelis Despaigne -330
Ion Cutelaba/Philipe Lins -549 Fight doesn't go to decision
0.54

Jyo 3
Ion Cutelaba -125
Jailton Almeida -114
2.38

Jyo 4
Gilbert Burns +145
Maycee Barber -200
2.68

Jyo 5
Marlon Vera +220
Kevin Holland -125
4.76

Jyo 6
Michal Oleksiejczuk +130
Mateusz Gamrot -425
1.84

Jyo 7
Kevin Holland -125
Jailton Almeida -114
Robelis Despaigne/Josh Parisian -1000 Fight doesn't go to decision
2.72

Jyo 8
Maycee Barber -200
Petr Yan -124
Dustin Poirier/Benoit Saint-Denis -450 Fight doesn't go to decision
2.31

JustBleed
Fight doesn't go to decision
Robelis Despaigne/Josh Parisian -1000
Ion Cutelaba/Philipe Lins -549
0.3

JustBleed 2
Fight doesn't go to decision
Dustin Poirier/Benoit Saint-Denis -450
Curtis Blaydes/Jailton Almeida -225
0.77

JustBleed 3
Fight doesn't go to decision
Michal Oleksiejczuk/Michel Pereira -175
Gilbert Burns/Jack Della -192
1.39

JustRound2
Fight starts round 2
Petr Yan/Song Yadong -950
Katlyn Cerminara/Maycee Barber -1000
0.22


LineMovement 1
Benoit Saint-Denis -210
Mateusz Gamrot -325
0.93

LineMovement 2
Jack Della Maddalena -165
Robelis Despaigne -330
1.09

Expected Outcome
Benoit Saint-Denis -150 wins inside distance
Robelis Despaigne -275 wins inside distance
1.27

Expected Outcome 2
Mateusz Gamrot -155 wins by decision
Kyler Phillips -107 wins by decision
2.18

Fight goes to decision
Katlyn Cerminara/Maycee Barber -300
Mateusz Gamrot/Rafael Dos Anjos -275
0.82

JustBleed Decision
Fight goes to decision
Kyler Phillips/Pedro Munhoz -270
Petr Yan/Song Yadong -225
0.98

BoomBox Parlay 1
Robelis Despaigne -355
Ion Cutelaba -120
Michel Pereira -148
Pedro Munhoz +185
Mateusz Gamrot -425
Kevin Holland -135
Dustin Poirier +180
66.57

BoomBox Parlay 2 (Finishers)
Robelis Despaigne Wins by TKO/KO -280
Michel Pereira Wins by TKO/KO +275
Kevin Holland Wins by Submission +550
Dustin Poirier Wins Inside the Distance +275
123.05

BoomBox Parlay 3 (Over/Under)
Munhoz/Phillips Over 1.5 Rounds -715
Gamrot/RDA Over 1.5 Rounds -770
Blaydes/Almedia Starts Round 2 -235
Yan/Yadong Over 2.5 Rounds -385
Burns/Maddalena Over 1.5 Rounds -186
O'Malley/Chito Over 1.5 Rounds -715
3.05

 

[Dillydilly]

Single Prop bets are also OK, NO MAIN CARD single prop bets


@SKYNET @KDR by RNC @BoomBoxVader06 @James Clardy @helax @AppliedScience @Doughie99 @estranged @Nova44 @lsa @emog2 @Kumason @Jyodog @Sunnyvale TP @BFoe @v.kevin @Sixstring @Jonathan Utah @KAZSoliloquy @315MMAFighter @Zebra Cheeks @Mikeydontgiva @Jackonfire @TXstriker @Rhood @cowboyjunkie @Deaths Head @cowboyjunkie @Dude Incredible @RoyJonesJr


Bunch of close matchups for this PPV

 

[legendtony]

How about Almeida, st. Denis & Burns to win.

Thank you!

 

[Dillydilly]

How about Almeida, st. Denis & Burns to win.

Thank you!

legendtony
Almeida -103
st. Denis -205
Burns +155
6.48

 

[KDR by RNC]

KDR 3 PIECE
Sean O'Malley -278
JDM -162
Robelis Despaigne -345
1.84

WHO AINT GOT JIU-JITSU?!
Dustin P by Sub +1000
MVP by Dec +225
34.75

My wood beats Yadong
Joanne Wood +185
Yadong -105
4.56

You cut yadong with blaydes now it burns
Yadong -105
Curtis Blaydes -108
Gilber Burns +136
7.87

The family table
O'Malley -278
The Diamond +170
MVP +110
JDM -162
Yan -115
Jalton -112
43.12

 

[Doughie99]

Am going Full-Tilt Boogie on my Parlays for this great UFC299 event. Expect (approx!) 6 of them.
So if anyone has too much Vcash and wants to get rid of some.....stick some on my parlays lol.

"Coming Soon....."

 

[Doughie99]

Doughie#1
Holland / MVP fight ends ITD + 120
Poirier / Saint Denis fight ends ITD - 375
Burns / Maddalena fight ends ITD - 195
Almeida/Blaydes ends ITD - 225
5.09

Doughie#2
Gamrot - 325
Holland - 125
Saint Denis - 205
Burns + 160
8.11

Doughie#3
Lins + 108
Holland ITD + 255
Almeida/Blaydes ends ITD - 225
9.67

Doughie#4
Yadong + 118
Benoit ITD - 150
Chookagian/Barber fights over 2.5rds - 339
Wood / Moroz fights over 2.5rds - 270
5.45

Doughie#5 The Fifth Dimension
Yadong + 118
Benoit ITD - 150
Burns + 160
Gamrot - 325
Moroz - 218
17.02

Doughie#6 Go Big or Go Home
Poirier + 190
Vera + 242
Maddalena by TKO/KO + 165
Gamrot - 325
Moroz - 218
49.14

Doughie#7 Blake's Seven
Burns / Madda fight ends ITD - 195
Almeida/Blaydes ends ITD - 225
Phillips - 204
Despaigne by TKO/KO - 265
Vera / O'Malley fight goes over 2.5rds - 325
Almabaev wins ITD - 140
Moroz - 218
13.67

 

[Dana's Conscience]

Numbers-wise, this isn't a great betting card. However, one fight could be worth putting money on. Joanne Wood is around a +200 underdog to Maryna Moroz. Despite this, numbers are giving Joanne a 58.7% chance of winning.

 

[KDR by RNC]

Worried about Dustin. He shaved his head, no longer fuck boy Dustin.

 

[Doughie99]

Numbers-wise, this isn't a great betting card. However, one fight could be worth putting money on. Joanne Wood is around a +200 underdog to Maryna Moroz. Despite this, numbers are giving Joanne a 58.7% chance of winning.

Yeah great ....but.....Joanna Wood ain't winning that fight.
She has lost 3 out of her last 4 fights and the sole win was a split decision win 1 year ago.
Moroz should get a fairly easy win, prob a Dec win.

 

[Doughie99]

Worried about Dustin. He shaved his head, no longer fuck boy Dustin.

That fight has got Fight of the Night written all over it.

 

[Dana's Conscience]

Yeah great ....but.....Joanna Wood ain't winning that fight.
She has lost 3 out of her last 4 fights and the sole win was a split decision win 1 year ago.
Moroz should get a fairly easy win, prob a Dec win.

Unless they're beyond glaring (using Tony Ferguson's career stats to evaluate his odds in a fight nowadays for example), betting based on an intangible factor like momentum is a good way to lose money over time. I'm simply using a number cruncher to point out to people where head to head stats tell a significantly different story than the moneyline does. The calculator I use has a 70% accuracy rate.

 

[Doughie99]

there's a phrase : "The Best guide to Future Behavior is Past Behavior."
This is essentially applicable to MMA fighting.

Unless they're beyond glaring (using Tony Ferguson's career stats to evaluate his odds in a fight nowadays for example), betting based on an intangible factor like momentum is a good way to lose money over time. I'm simply using a number cruncher to point out to people where head to head stats tell a significantly different story than the moneyline does. The calculator I use has a 70% accuracy rate.

 

[Doughie99]

KDR 3 PIECE

Sean O'Malley -278
JDM -162
Robelis Despaigne -345
1.84

WHO AINT GOT JIU-JITSU?!
Dustin P by Sub +1000
MVP by Dec +225
34.75

My wood beats Yadong
Joanne Wood +185
Yadong -105
4.56

You cut yadong with blaydes now it burns
Yadong -105
Curtis Blaydes -108
Gilber Burns +136
7.87

The family table
O'Malley -278
The Diamond +170
MVP +110
JDM -162
Yan -115
Jalton -112
43.12

I'm starting to think that you first think of cool Parlay names and THEN pick fighters to populate your chosen funky Parlay names...... heck if it works, fair play to you!!

 

[Doughie99]

@Dillydilly

One more from me :

Doughie#8
Saint Denis ITD - 150
Holland / Page fight ends ITD + 120
2.67

 

[KDR by RNC]

I


I'm starting to think that you first think of cool Parlay names and THEN pick fighters to populate your chosen funky Parlay names...... heck if it works, fair play to you!!

Nothing I do works.

 

[helax]

Nothing I do works.

 

[Jyodog]

so i am going to use the (-549) just in case but is the +8000 allowed? lol

 

[helax]

so i am going to use the (-549) just in case but is the +8000 allowed? lol

Opening odds are ok but something like this wouldn't be. That's just too wild lol

 

[Jyodog]

Jyo 1
Benoit Saint-Denis -210
Robelis Despaigne/Josh Parisian -1000 Fight doesn't go to decision
0.62

Jyo 2
Robelis Despaigne -330
Ion Cutelaba/Philipe Lins -549 Fight doesn't go to decision
0.54

Jyo 3
Ion Cutelaba -125
Jailton Almeida -114
2.38

Jyo 4
Gilbert Burns +145
Maycee Barber -200
2.68

Jyo 5
Marlon Vera +220
Kevin Holland -125
4.76

Jyo 6
Michal Oleksiejczuk +130
Mateusz Gamrot -425
1.84

Jyo 7
Kevin Holland -125
Jailton Almeida -114
Robelis Despaigne/Josh Parisian -1000 Fight doesn't go to decision
2.72

Jyo 8
Maycee Barber -200
Petr Yan -124
Dustin Poirier/Benoit Saint-Denis -450 Fight doesn't go to decision

BigFavs
2.31

JustBleed
Fight doesn't go to decision
Robelis Despaigne/Josh Parisian -1000
Ion Cutelaba/Philipe Lins -549
0.3

JustBleed 2
Fight doesn't go to decision
Dustin Poirier/Benoit Saint-Denis -450
Curtis Blaydes/Jailton Almeida -225
0.77

JustBleed 3
Fight doesn't go to decision
Michal Oleksiejczuk/Michel Pereira -175
Gilbert Burns/Jack Della -192
1.39

JustRound2
Fight starts round 2
Petr Yan/Song Yadong -950
Katlyn Cerminara/Maycee Barber -1000
0.22


LineMovement 1
Benoit Saint-Denis -210
Mateusz Gamrot -325
0.93

LineMovement 2
Jack Della Maddalena -165
Robelis Despaigne -330
1.09

Expected Outcome
Benoit Saint-Denis -150 wins inside distance
Robelis Despaigne -275 wins inside distance
1.27

Expected Outcome 2
Mateusz Gamrot -155 wins by decision
Kyler Phillips -107 wins by decision
2.18

Fight goes to decision
Katlyn Cerminara/Maycee Barber -300
Mateusz Gamrot/Rafael Dos Anjos -275
0.82

JustBleed Decision
Fight goes to decision
Kyler Phillips/Pedro Munhoz -270
Petr Yan/Song Yadong -225
0.98