golf betting

G

guesswhoseback

Brown Belt
@Brown
Joined
Sep 9, 2020
Messages
4,491
Reaction score
1,850
to many golfers to count how many I have i got like 300$ total I think or a little less a little more. I did 100$ each on 2 golfers pre tourney then about a 100 I think randomly after the first rd I got 1 golfer that looks like has a chance

275193290_488842322710158_1196583781096476596_n.png 274908760_1118620828974037_197390889242652103_n.png
 
From my experience, the most profitable way to play golf is "Field over ________________" after Rd 2 or if you want more risk after Rd 3. It's fairly common to see someone with a big name sitting 2 back off of the lead after Rd 2 with Field over (Insert big name here) at around -500 to -700. I know those seem like big odds, but realistically, he could have around 6 people ahead of him, 8 tied with him, and 20 within 2 strokes. His odds are sitting there only due to punters betting on a larger name. Realistically, he probably has about a 1/15 chance of winning. I used to parlay those all of the time with MMA and very rarely got burnt.
 
Oblivian said:
From my experience, the most profitable way to play golf is "Field over ________________" after Rd 2 or if you want more risk after Rd 3. It's fairly common to see someone with a big name sitting 2 back off of the lead after Rd 2 with Field over (Insert big name here) at around -500 to -700. I know those seem like big odds, but realistically, he could have around 6 people ahead of him, 8 tied with him, and 20 within 2 strokes. His odds are sitting there only due to punters betting on a larger name. Realistically, he probably has about a 1/15 chance of winning. I used to parlay those all of the time with MMA and very rarely got burnt.
Click to expand...

No offense man but I have legit no idea what any of that means
 
cant really hedge 2 other golfers who are 3 strokes back were 1 and 2 favorites to win the tourney im sure when odds do come out they will prob both be around +750 no reason to
 

Attachments

  • 274791882_731284854905654_7394851093424707978_n.png
    274791882_731284854905654_7394851093424707978_n.png
    59.3 KB · Views: 5
  • 275900305_539304940820720_5336499718312102021_n.png
    275900305_539304940820720_5336499718312102021_n.png
    58.8 KB · Views: 2
  • 275164891_1216477498882271_5301592350549051723_n.png
    275164891_1216477498882271_5301592350549051723_n.png
    182.9 KB · Views: 3
guesswhoseback said:
No offense man but I have legit no idea what any of that means
Click to expand...

Ha he was basically betting the opposite of what you are (kind of). Like, let's say 5 years ago heading into the weekend Rory McDonald (huge name) was 3 shots off the lead and tied for 3rd place. But maybe there's 3 guys tied for 1st and 4 guys tied for 2nd, plus 2 more tied with Rory for 3rd. So there are 7 guys ahead of Rory, plus 2 tied with him. But because Rory was such a big name and top ranked guy, he could bet Rory NOT to win the tournament at that point and pay like -500. Which is a probably a good bet at that point with 7 guys already in front of Rory, plus 2 tied with him. Not to mention maybe someone one shot behind him gets red hot and blows past all of them on the weekend to win.

Long story short, Rory realistically probably has maybe a 10% chance to win, ballpark? So real odds should maybe be -900 or something to bet against him winning. But he was getting -500 or whatever.

Not sure if I explained that well...I never even saw odds like that at the books I used but it was working for Oblivian.
 
mkess101 said:
Ha he was basically betting the opposite of what you are (kind of). Like, let's say 5 years ago heading into the weekend Rory McDonald (huge name) was 3 shots off the lead and tied for 3rd place. But maybe there's 3 guys tied for 1st and 4 guys tied for 2nd, plus 2 more tied with Rory for 3rd. So there are 7 guys ahead of Rory, plus 2 tied with him. But because Rory was such a big name and top ranked guy, he could bet Rory NOT to win the tournament at that point and pay like -500. Which is a probably a good bet at that point with 7 guys already in front of Rory, plus 2 tied with him. Not to mention maybe someone one shot behind him gets red hot and blows past all of them on the weekend to win.

Long story short, Rory realistically probably has maybe a 10% chance to win, ballpark? So real odds should maybe be -900 or something to bet against him winning. But he was getting -500 or whatever.

Not sure if I explained that well...I never even saw odds like that at the books I used but it was working for Oblivian.
Click to expand...

Exactly. 5dimes always had those. I haven't bet golf in a while. Honestly, I don't know anyone who is successful at betting winners. I think the books make a shitload off of punters in golf.
 
Oblivian said:
Exactly. 5dimes always had those. I haven't bet golf in a while. Honestly, I don't know anyone who is successful at betting winners. I think the books make a shitload off of punters in golf.
Click to expand...

I never knew it was 5d that had those. I guess I never even looked that hard haha.
 
Burns makes a 30 foot putt for me to lose on 2nf extra holes 2nd time in 4 events I lose in extra holes
 
Burns earned that. He was putting his ass off, no?
 
Black Paladin said:
Burns earned that. He was putting his ass off, no?
Click to expand...

Shit man I ain't gonna lie I don't know shit about golf I mean I know the rules and scoring and shit and the top players but I really don't watch it unless my golfers are within like 3 strokes the final round
 
Black Paladin said:
Burns earned that. He was putting his ass off, no?
Click to expand...

Also and I am fairly good at all sports except golf legit last time I went golfing in Texas par 5 I wasn't even half way threw the hole and already 12 strokes in I quit and went home
 
guesswhoseback said:
Also and I am fairly good at all sports except golf legit last time I went golfing in Texas par 5 I wasn't even half way threw the hole and already 12 strokes in I quit and went home
Click to expand...


EDIT: I am the opposite of you--I suck at most sports (I am quick, fast, and relatively strong, but VERY UNCOORDINATED. Unpredictable).

I have told this story a few times, and I am not sure if I ever did on Sherdog.

I didn't get interested in learning golf until Tiger. I got some old clubs free from one of my students, and he agreed to teach me a full swing. After a few times at the driving range, we went to a short 9-hole course. Granted, this was the easiest course in the whole city.

Guess what? I hit par on the sixth hole. Par on a hole for a person's first time on a course? Tiger Woods didn't even do that shit! Granted, he played his first round of golf when he was one-and-a-half or something like that, and I was twenty-nine. But still!
 
Black Paladin said:
EDIT: I am the opposite of you--I suck at most sports (I am quick, fast, and relatively strong, but VERY UNCOORDINATED. Unpredictable).

I have told this story a few times, and I am not sure if I ever did on Sherdog.

I didn't get interested in learning golf until Tiger. I got some old clubs free from one of my students, and he agreed to teach me a full swing. After a few times at the driving range, we went to a short 9-hole course. Granted, this was the easiest course in the whole city.

Guess what? I hit par on the sixth hole. Par on a hole for a person's first time on a course? Tiger Woods didn't even do that shit! Granted, he played his first round of golf when he was one-and-a-half or something like that, and I was twenty-nine. But still!
Click to expand...

No lie i was a d 1 college level cross country athlete till I got kicked outta HS decent in all sports my very first time ever golfing was in Barstow Cali worse score I've ever heard any one ever mention by far shooting I shot a 217 lol
 
guesswhoseback said:
No lie i was a d 1 college level cross country athlete till I got kicked outta HS decent in all sports my very first time ever golfing was in Barstow Cali worse score I've ever heard any one ever mention by far shooting I shot a 217 lol
Click to expand...

Damn. For three days, that's not a bad score. For three hours, though? <{dayum}>
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,238,450
Messages
55,560,716
Members
174,820
Latest member
GringoRonin

Share this page

Back
Top