i’m sure they’ll make it. with someone like francis, producers probably think it’s better to “strike while the iron is hot.” but generally i don’t think it’s a good idea to make biopic movies until a lot of time has passed, especially positive ones. you can have a lifetime of accomplishments, but one or two fuck-ups will end up defining the entire narrative. i remember someone made a fawning biographical documentary about “the legend of ron jeremy” in the 2000’s. it got great reviews back then. fast forward 2 decades, now he’s a rapist, and pretty much everyone agrees his career ain’t worth shit. the same thing would happen if they made movies about bill cosby or lance armstrong before their scandals. information that comes out later can completely change the public’s perception of a man. it’s best to wait until time has passed, and you have a better historical perspective of what their careers really meant in the big picture. the francis story is still unfolding so we’ll see where it goes.
also, to be perfectly frank, i don’t think his story is going to resonate with people in 2023—not in the way his fans think. they’re thinking “but he went from mining sand in africa to fighting tyson fury, he had a dream, and he’s a nice guy.” it’s not that it’s a bad story, but it’s one that people have heard a lot at this point, and they are overall much more cynical than they used to be. the fresher angle has to do with his contentious relationship to ufc, because (imo) people will be able to relate to his frustrations with large institutional powers like ufc. if they focused on that, it could be meaningful. aside from that, francis’s personal success story is probably not enough to reach past the confines of a combat sports audience.