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So with UFC 300 5 months away, we have already heard Connor most likely won't be fighting on that card.
So I started thinking what champions could and could not possibly headline that card.
Men
HW Champ Jon Jones: 0% chance, out with torn pec.
Interim HW Champ Tom Aspinall: 50-100% chance, he healthy and his last fight would have been in Nov 2023.
LHW Champ Alex Pereira: 50-100% chance, he healthy and his last fight would have been in Nov 2023.
MW Sean Strickland: 25-50% chance, he has a title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 297 at end of Jan, so if he or DDP can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
WW Leon Edwards: 35-50% chance, he has a title defense against Colby Covington at UFC 296 on Dec 16th, if he or Colby can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
LW Islam Makhachev: 5% chance, Ramadan is from March 10th to April 9th and Islam doesn't fight and train during Ramadan, so unless he change his stance I say slim chance of fighting on UFC 300.
FW Alexander Volkanovski: 15-50% chance, he has a title defense against Ilia Topuria at UFC 298 on Feb 17th, if he or Ilia can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
BW Sean O'Malley: 5-50% chance, he has a title defense against Marlon Vera at UFC 299 on March 9th, slim chance of seeing or Marlon fight at UFC 300 but a quick fight plus money can make it possible.
FLW Alexandre Pantoja: 35-50% chance, on same card as Leon with title defense against Brandon Royval and if he or Brandon can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
Women
FW Champ Vacant: 0-100% chance, Amanda vacated when she retired back in June 2023 and they could make a title fight to help UFC 300.
BW Champ Vacant: 25-50% chance, Raquel Pennington and Mayra Bueno Siva are fighting for the vacant title at UFC 297 and its the same card as Sean Strickland and unless either one can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
FLW Alexa Grasso: 50-100% chance, she had the draw with Valentina at UFC FIght Night 227 on September 16th, I know she hurt her hand but her and Valentina could have the trilogy fight on UFC 300 if both of them are healthy.
SW Zhang Weili: 75-100% chance, she dominated Amanda Lemos at UFC 292 back on Aug 19th and she probably would have had plenty time to get ready for a title defense on UFC 300 and there couple title challengers who could get be ready by April if needed.
So I started thinking what champions could and could not possibly headline that card.
Men
HW Champ Jon Jones: 0% chance, out with torn pec.
Interim HW Champ Tom Aspinall: 50-100% chance, he healthy and his last fight would have been in Nov 2023.
LHW Champ Alex Pereira: 50-100% chance, he healthy and his last fight would have been in Nov 2023.
MW Sean Strickland: 25-50% chance, he has a title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 297 at end of Jan, so if he or DDP can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
WW Leon Edwards: 35-50% chance, he has a title defense against Colby Covington at UFC 296 on Dec 16th, if he or Colby can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
LW Islam Makhachev: 5% chance, Ramadan is from March 10th to April 9th and Islam doesn't fight and train during Ramadan, so unless he change his stance I say slim chance of fighting on UFC 300.
FW Alexander Volkanovski: 15-50% chance, he has a title defense against Ilia Topuria at UFC 298 on Feb 17th, if he or Ilia can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
BW Sean O'Malley: 5-50% chance, he has a title defense against Marlon Vera at UFC 299 on March 9th, slim chance of seeing or Marlon fight at UFC 300 but a quick fight plus money can make it possible.
FLW Alexandre Pantoja: 35-50% chance, on same card as Leon with title defense against Brandon Royval and if he or Brandon can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
Women
FW Champ Vacant: 0-100% chance, Amanda vacated when she retired back in June 2023 and they could make a title fight to help UFC 300.
BW Champ Vacant: 25-50% chance, Raquel Pennington and Mayra Bueno Siva are fighting for the vacant title at UFC 297 and its the same card as Sean Strickland and unless either one can get a quick victory then they possible be back by UFC 300.
FLW Alexa Grasso: 50-100% chance, she had the draw with Valentina at UFC FIght Night 227 on September 16th, I know she hurt her hand but her and Valentina could have the trilogy fight on UFC 300 if both of them are healthy.
SW Zhang Weili: 75-100% chance, she dominated Amanda Lemos at UFC 292 back on Aug 19th and she probably would have had plenty time to get ready for a title defense on UFC 300 and there couple title challengers who could get be ready by April if needed.