Good post, but what about the intangible social aspects. Meaning (and I think it was
@Strychnine that brought it up earlier) there are still plenty that live there that remember bread lines. They remember what it was like near the end of the Soviet era. They may be able to grow enough food to not starve...but that alone doesn't stop unrest in the populace (although for sure it helps). But how well is this communicated to their people? Restlessness has already began, less than a week in. People standing in line for hours for the ATM as they see their currency tank.
Is Russia truly prepared to essentially be isolationists? And I'm saying Russia, not Putin. He might be. He may have made preparations that he felt were adequate to ride this out as a pariah. But did he REALLY project accurately what his populace will think and do under these circumstances? Is he even capable of that?