Some people out there actually think that Charles Rosa was beating Burgos in the stand up, unbelievable..
Rosa seems to be devolving, earlier on in his career he would attack the takedowns harder, and keep things fairly tight in his stand up.
Recently though he has looked to shoot maybe 3 or 4 times per fight but they seem so half hearted, if you're happy to just fall down he'll take it but if you show any first level resistance he just gives up on the idea.
His striking has added a consistent leg kick, he can land 20+ per fight easily, and that really is his best weapon. He will change it up at times and go to the body but there is no snap or speed on anything he throws, it takes those 20+ kicks for the damage to add up.
His hands are shambolic, just winging every punch, throwing huge slow over hands while looking directly at the floor, zero technique or defense in mind.
An Elias Theodorou school of special needs striking graduate, his flailing rag doll style poses no danger other than a fluke, he has no jab.
Kevin Aguilar is heavy on the lead leg, and that is my only concern for him in this fight, if he stays heavy on the lead leg and doesn't counter the kicks they could cause issues as the fight goes on, but he has shown he can counter low kicks well against much better and more threatening strikers previously, usually punching to the body as his opponent kicks.
His TDD is very good, especially against first layer take down attempts, chain wrestlers could probably find much more success but Charles Rosa is not that.
Rosa has a good attacking guard and will threaten with submissions from all positions, the downside is he can also end up spending too much time on his back, attacking low percentage subs while taking damage and having the clock run down on him.
Kevin has the faster, crisper hands and holds much more power.
Both men are very tough, but we may be seeing the decline of Kevin's chin in progress, but with that I don't think Rosa has the power to really be a threat barring a lucky over hand swing connecting.
Kevin Aguilar by TKO/KO or decision would be my pick, but this is a short notice fight for both men so I'll be taking a look at weigh ins before making any kind of play.
