Power consumption isn't the main cost sink, it's the startup costs since Nvidia absolutely makes commercial customers pay through the nose (GPUs are one of the few exceptions that are cheaper for consumers than businesses). The costs can go down in the future and that equation can be balanced, but the entire appeal of LLM and "AI" so far is that it's been a free service essentially, or close to it. Making the leap to organic demand is still not guaranteed.
Whats the next disruptive technology?
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Buying Warhammer figures is paying for the IP, not the manufacturing. Comparing the cost of printing your own and buying them is apples and oranges. That isn't to say 3d printing isn't promising for a lot of lower tech applications.
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try using AI for a prolonged period of time
has chatgpt gotten better? that stuff seems dumber than ever in some categories.
ask: "what is the difference between a man and a woman"
and you'll find some diatribe about gender equality, and if you're doing a paper on anatomy and scientific research, this is bunk shit.
financial trading is a different category, those who carry the purse strings, make the market move, the best you can do is go along for the ride.
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I'm starting to see those tiny homes pop up all over social media. Amazon sells one that just folds out and locks in place.
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the fact that you had to spell this out is staggering to me... ai is the single most devastating threat we have ever faced as a species. we either risk any random psycho being able to kill millions or we enact a security state so tight that we have lost all freedom. not to mention the massive loss of jobs on the horizon.
what do you think hamas (regardless of who you think is in the wrong) will do with biological weapons when they get ahold of ai?
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Bro those apple goggles are crazy
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Agreed, the war will be fought by our instruments as they will be the only way to respond to such fast moving threats. We will be server farm operators at best. Pets.
And we will need to do it. Like the the only way to respond to fast moving AI trading on the stock market being using AI, removing the expertise of humans from the equation. The same will be true with all policy and societal defence.
A police state is not only necessary, it's an AI state that's necessary, and it has to be the best available AI for our society to continue. A person cannot respond in milliseconds or indeed in advance to an abstract and culmatively complex threat.
The ONLY way we survive moving forward, rather than back to the stone age is to give over basically everything to AI. Sure we will remain as the prompt engineers, but even that role will be subsumed in the most important areas, then all areas. We by necessity are engineering our own obsolescence.
Musk's plan to integrate with AI and gradually to augment ,subsume and expand our intellects into this new paradigm is an attractive solution.
But whatever the answer, it's the end of us as we are now.
It seems like everyone of late is discussing AI computing replacing some white collar jobs. In the past it was machines replacing blue collar jobs. Now computers are becoming smarter and able to handle some office white collar positions. We're only at the beginning of this technology. How far it will go nobody seems to know, but it does have the potential to change how we live.
Bill Gates says today’s software is still ‘pretty dumb,’ but believes AI will ‘utterly change how we live our lives’
Bill Gates says today’s software is still ‘pretty dumb,’ but believes AI will ‘utterly change how we live our lives’
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www.cnbc.com
He's not entirely wrong but Microsoft is also betting heavy on Copilot and Windows 12 this year. Their financial projections for it are incredibly rosy compared to past refreshes.
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CRISPR CAS-9
level 5 driverless cars
level 5 driverless cars
California seems to have this system in stores already except it is a little better because you apparently you don't need a card or payment at all.
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Probably EMP ransom attacks . It will be a new type of criminal activity that can implement a focused EMP device that wipes out all electrical equipment including all storage devices unless VERY well shielded and may require faraday cage protection . Businesses , stock exchanges , government buildings , automobiles , planes , trains , hospitals , electrical generation and transformer stations , communication satellites ..... essentially a very quick end to whatever the target is and incredibly damaging . This may already be happening but not reported .To do it on a large scale would be an act of war so it would have to be localized .
It already has been used on a limited scale by the military to wipe out communications of the opponent. In modern warfare you can bring a country to its knees by wiping out the electrical grid system , this really hasn't been used on a large scale but is a known threat to all countries.
It can happen naturally has well by solar flares ( coronal mass ejection ) such as the 1859 Carrington event , if that happened again the effects would be devastating for years . It has been estimated that there is about a 1% chance of it happening again in any given year ......
It already has been used on a limited scale by the military to wipe out communications of the opponent. In modern warfare you can bring a country to its knees by wiping out the electrical grid system , this really hasn't been used on a large scale but is a known threat to all countries.
It can happen naturally has well by solar flares ( coronal mass ejection ) such as the 1859 Carrington event , if that happened again the effects would be devastating for years . It has been estimated that there is about a 1% chance of it happening again in any given year ......
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AI will make all message boards, social media and everything text based on the internet obsolete. Initially corporate interests will be using it to push narratives. Then when it hits private hands every online interaction will be driven by AI with conflicting interests.
One benefit is that Libraries will become popular again.
One benefit is that Libraries will become popular again.
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so called disruptive technologies often go through a classic hype cycle where everybody get excited, huge investments and promises are made, there is a valley of despair where commercialization lags, and finally there is a gradual adoption/commercialization of the technology.
AI, genetic engineering (e.g. CRISPR), Virtual and Augmented Reality, artificial meat, nanotechnology, solar, battery storage are mostly at the early stages of the cycle. there is a lot more to come.
The Apple Vision pro is the equivalent of the TRS-80 in the 80's. An early bulky commercial device mostly of interest to dedicated hobbyists. 10 years late people like me were routinely using computers in school. Kids in school now have computing devices embedded in everything that they do. This is to say, nothing happens overnight but add it all up over a decade or two and it is incredible amount of change.
In terms of technology that has not received a lot of press recently, I will point to fusion energy, space based solar power, nanobots, programmable matter, and something related to longevity.
Fusion energy is not new and the old joke is that it remains 20 years away from being 20 years away but there continue to be technical developments and the potential remains immense.
Space Based Power could be one of the next waves of near early orbit commercialization.
Nanobots / nono-machines continue to progess and have obvious health and industrial applications.
Programmable matter may be further away but the concept has been around since at least the early 90's.
There are a lot of rich people trying to figure out how to live forever, or at least a really long time. Since the 1840's, longevity in developed countries has increased consistently at about 3 months per year. I suspect that we will stay on the curve but the thing with curves is that you are on the curve until you aren't. It is possible that somebody cracks a significant part of "aging" and our life spans increase in a jump.
AI, genetic engineering (e.g. CRISPR), Virtual and Augmented Reality, artificial meat, nanotechnology, solar, battery storage are mostly at the early stages of the cycle. there is a lot more to come.
The Apple Vision pro is the equivalent of the TRS-80 in the 80's. An early bulky commercial device mostly of interest to dedicated hobbyists. 10 years late people like me were routinely using computers in school. Kids in school now have computing devices embedded in everything that they do. This is to say, nothing happens overnight but add it all up over a decade or two and it is incredible amount of change.
In terms of technology that has not received a lot of press recently, I will point to fusion energy, space based solar power, nanobots, programmable matter, and something related to longevity.
Fusion energy is not new and the old joke is that it remains 20 years away from being 20 years away but there continue to be technical developments and the potential remains immense.
Space Based Power could be one of the next waves of near early orbit commercialization.
Nanobots / nono-machines continue to progess and have obvious health and industrial applications.
Programmable matter may be further away but the concept has been around since at least the early 90's.
There are a lot of rich people trying to figure out how to live forever, or at least a really long time. Since the 1840's, longevity in developed countries has increased consistently at about 3 months per year. I suspect that we will stay on the curve but the thing with curves is that you are on the curve until you aren't. It is possible that somebody cracks a significant part of "aging" and our life spans increase in a jump.
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what? you mean like a self checkout? they're everwhere in Europe.
