- Joined
- Dec 2, 2020
- Messages
- 1,800
- Reaction score
- 3,563
That's why you THINK the odds are that way; there are a lot of reasons people make the bets they do. That isn't a reliable as an identified 'most common' betting strategy; the odds don't consistently reflect that.
So please explain why Almeida is the betting favorite over Blaydes when it is (and I agree with this) a bad matchup for him.
My best answer was that people are using that flawed logic to pick their winner.
That is obviously an atrocious way to pick fights (or any sport) because it ignores the specific matchups as well as overall context, which are the most important thing. This is a bad matchup for Almeida. In ANY sport, fighter/team A may be able to beat fighter/team B, and fighter/team B may be able to beat fighter/team C, but that DOES NOT follow that team A can necessarily beat team C.
Way to miss the point.
I say that Almeida is the favorite because he beat Lewis when Blaydes didn't.
You say that doesn't make sense because MMath doesn't work.
I agree with you. However I'm saying that's why other people are betting that way.
You say that's not how people bet because it's not a logical way to bet, and yet you also say that the odds aren't logical because this is a bad matchup for Almeida.
So what's your point? Are people betting logically or are they not? If they're betting logically then why aren't the odds reflecting that?
Last edited: