Nate diaz Is far more of a pressure fighter / throws more punches than Tony does. Tony tends to pick his shots a lot more.
If a 185+ pound version of Nate couldn't do It at welterweight, something tells me It's not gonna be quite that simple for Tony to do It at 155..Particularly If he cannot challenge Conor on the feet In the way that a welterweight version of Nate Diaz could.
To me, I see this being a far easier fight than Nate was at 170.
I would expect Tony to be shooting for his life In this one and it remains to be seen how that goes.
Tony Is not Nate Diaz on the feet, not even close. Nate' boxing Is on a completely different level. Tony Is sloppy, very wide and leaves his chin up In the air. I would give Conor the edge In the overall kicking game as well.
You will find that If you're not able to challenge someone on the feet, you will not be able to tire them In a way that someone who can would.
All that said, you guys aren't actually putting any thought Into your analysis. It's all emotion / bias fuelled.