Props that favor probability for best odds.
Fig by points/300+
Fig. has 1 ko since 2019 against top competition, wins majority by sub and dec. Most kos account for his early ufc matches , and early mma career. Cody is a solid grappler with good defense. the threat of ko is there as cody can be chinny, but Fig is not a heavy puncher.
Green points/160+
Miller has 2 kos loss in 54 fights and dec is Green's primary win method.
Marina points 235+ or Andrade ko 300+ / 250+ points
leaning more towards Marina as she is bigger and fights similar to Rose. And leaning slightly to Andrade dec than a ko.
Turmer ko round 1 125+ or ko round 2 400+
Moicano loses r1 ko 2x against heavy ko artist, and early round 2.
Yufef points 265+ or ML 115+
Lopez always loses by points historically when he makes the jump to a higher skilled striker. His high finish rate always hits the ceiling in terms of opponent level. Yusef went 5 rounds with Edson who is far more lethal in striking, unless he gets subbed, but he's defensively sound..
Jiri Ml 105+ or 165+ ko / Rakic ko 265+ or round 2 800+ / Draw 6600+
Jiri is the value side and i've seen Rakic get dropped by Devin Clark. Rakic by ko in round 2 cause his leg kicks are likely to break down Jiri around this time, round 2-3 are usually where tko leg injury happen, i think Jiri is getting his lead leg mangled.
draw bets rarely hit but i see 10-8 round being handed here because jiri has propensity to start strong early and can kd Rakic and lose the later rounds.
Bo ko 145+
Bo has equal chance at sub but i'm going for plus odds here.
Arman points 300+ Charles ko round 2 1600+
Doubt Charles can ko Arman early , just on skill level i think Charles ko threat starts around round 2-3. Arman by dec as a hedge because it's his most common way to win. Arman ko 1-2 465+ or 675+
Justin points 600+ split dec
I''m just not feeling the whole fight in general. i think max can make it competitive enough that we get a split dec either way.
Weiling points 200+
This one just seems more obvious that she wins a boring LnP points, sub prop for an extra 100+ is possible but for that extra 100+ i'd rather sacrifice those odds for the likelier scenario. Yan ko 1000+ looks possible, KOing Andrade in her last fight can mean she's improved in boxing ability.
Hill / Pereira FGTD 400+
I liken this fight to go the distance, both guys have good chins, and i don't see Alex pressing Hill like he did Izzy. And Hill isn't that heavy a puncher. 400+ is pretty good odds and you don't need to rely on this pick'em fight to go one way.
