- Joined
- Nov 24, 2018
- Messages
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I'm not so sure Miller-Oliveira ends ITD. Miller has had 40 fights, fought a lot of dangerous fighters and only been knocked out twice. It took Hookers signature knee and Cerrones signature head kick, the guy is super tough. Then hes only been submitted twice, by Chiesas RNC and Nate Diazs guillotine after getting beat up first. I see a few ways he can finish Oliveira though, his guillotine, some other submission, his left hand and Oliveiras lack of heart. Oliveira striking used to have promise but it seems he stopped trying to develop that part of his game. I thnk Oliveira is going to have to lock up a full guillotine, if he wants a finish and do it before Miller breaks his spirit. I had to take Miller at +260.
I'm starting to regret my play on Meerschaert. I know hes taken Santos down a few times but his wrestling is just not good, he has that body kick but his punching and overall striking is not good. He relies on his opponents making mistakes and he jumps on those opportunities. Hermanssons footwork will make him hard to find for a strike or a takedown, his volume will make it hard to take rounds and his BJJ/GNP is good enough to be a threat on the ground should it go there. Hermanssons heart and will to win cannot be overstated either whereas I've seen Meerschaert turtle up on multiple occasions. I feel Meerschaerts best chance is catching a guillotine off a sloppy takedown(if Hermansson even tries for a takedown), Meerschaert is very good at front chokes and he doesnt need guard to finish.
Im still on the fence about Meerschaert.....I can't remember did Leites land any takedowns before Hermansson broke his rib or were all 3 after he broke his rib? I'm thinking if Leites can land the takedowns then so can Meerschaert.
edit: he landed 2/10 before Hermansson broke his rib.
Checking Hermanssons wiki; he hasn't faced any decent-high level wrestlers besides Ferreira who he subbed to.
Has Meerschaert faced any powerful striker besides Santos whom he got knocked out by?
I predict Meerschaert will land the takedowns but not sure he'll be able to get anything done down there. If Meerschaert does land a takedown and makes a mistake next thing you know Hermansson is on top of him with his brutal GnP.
Tough fight to call odds seem correct so I might not bet on it.
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