- Joined
- Nov 13, 2009
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Cruz would have won the primaries then I think beaten Hillary worse than Trump did via being less inflammatory, having a tighter grip on the religious vote and being hispanic. 97.475% confident.
It's easy to assume the second place guy would've won but one thing to consider during the primaries was Trump, Bush, Kasich, and Rubio were all competing performing best with urban voters while Cruz had somewhat solidified the rural vote already. So if trump doesn't run, that means possibly one of those other three takes the vote share Trump was accumulating. Speculating only goes so far but it is an important note when thinking of the map.