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Not saying your points aren't valid, they are, but the wildcard for me, is Jake. We don't know how good he really is. Age is obviously a factor, but all things considered, Tyson looks good, and he didn't look out of sorts in his little sparring match with RJJ a little while ago, so I think his conditioning is fine. I think it's an interesting fight.
Granted, it will probably be some semi-fixed rat-a-tat-tat bullshit, but on it's face, I don't think it's a terrible match-up. Lose-Lose for Jake, though. He either beats an old man, or gets beaten by an old man. Must be one hell of payday.
Hmm I'm going to agree to disagree about his conditioning in the RJJ match. RJJ wasn't putting any kind of pressure so they both just leaned, hugged and didn't throw much most of the time then threw some nice combos in kind of 10 second bursts twice a round. They gave each other a good breather in between, was more an exhibition than a ruthless pressure to break the other guy.
The payday will be enormous. Iron Mike is probably still a pretty unique crossover mainstream draw even if a few otherwise boxing fans like me dip out. And JP's social media kids will be all up in it- although I doubt many of them pay.