piglord
Black Belt
- Joined
- Sep 5, 2014
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Like it a lot...But then I have about 20-25u already tied up on year bets, meh.. I'll probably add something
they limited me to £17 like a total hoe.
Like it a lot...But then I have about 20-25u already tied up on year bets, meh.. I'll probably add something
I havent watched paddy tape and cant remember him too well. I did watch tape on his opponent tho and hes not the fundamentally flawed type i like fading on cw shows. Cant really comment on how i think this goes but the guys not a mug.
And another great fight announcement for good measure.
fuck yeah, still got my gastelum to be champ by the end of the year bet live. i just hope robert can squeeze two fights in (or potentially just one if he loses) this year with his injuries.
What odds you got on Kelvin? Obviously you will hedge out with Bob even though he'll be super juiced if Kelvin were to get the title shot?
£30 returns £450 whatever that works out as.
why not let it ride? that's like hedging a SB future. you have amazing odds, you should let it rideAmerican odds +1500.
If Kelvin beats Jacare and looks decent doing so and Bob wins one fight prior to that (Yoel rematch or whatever) I'd say Bob will be maybe -250 to -300 vs Kelvin?
You'll be able to lock up some nice profit if Kelvin gets his shot imo.
why not let it ride? that's like hedging a SB future. you have amazing odds, you should let it ride
/rant
how you cap the fight is precisely the reason you should let it ride. +1500 is 6.3%. Surely you can't think there's no value in that.For sure you could, to me it would depend how you cap the fight. Personally, I think Robert is a horrible matchup for Kelvin but that said if you end up having to pay too much juice on Bob I could definitely see letting it ride. I suppose it depends on the line if the fight happens and how you feel about the matchup.
In MMA esp, a future bet to be champ might have you feeling way way different about whether to hedge based on the matchup if your guy gets to a title shot. Styles making fights and all that.
how you cap the fight is precisely the reason you should let it ride. +1500 is 6.3%. Surely you can't think there's no value in that.
That'd be somewhat equivalent to me hedging my Eagles SB bet at +5000 win the Pats ML before the SB starts. Obv hindsight is 20/20 but yeah...Of course. But if you cap Whit -350 and he opens -150 (just as an example) I could see hedging out some if you want to be a bit more conservative. It's definitely not wrong to still let it ride, but at the very least freerolling it isn't a horrible idea imo. It's only if you see a lot of value on the guy you DON'T have in your futures bet vs the actual line.
You don't even have to necessarily look at it as "hedging". You could say "When I first made my future bet on Kelvin at +1500 to hold the title, I saw great value in it so I bet it." Then look at your current bet as a completely separate bet. "I heavily favor Whit over Kelvin and cap him at -350. At -150 he is a steal so I'm betting him."
That'd be somewhat equivalent to me hedging my Eagles SB bet at +5000 win the Pats ML before the SB starts. Obv hindsight is 20/20 but yeah...