There are a lot of indicators that many areas thought to be conservative strongholds aren't really so when you strip away gerrymandering + partisan politics and break things down to the actual issues. There's a lot of data on this. If Guillam would have actually beaten DeSantis and avoided controversy, Florida would likely have gone about as deep blue as it has red. Creating "red States" quite often requires extremely partisan gerrymandering (specifically targeting breaking apart minority voting districts, DeSantis did this), disenfranchising metropolitan area voters, and playing and empowering rural voters. AKA "minoirty rule." Even red State "election integrity" units and task forces have been shown to be giga antic frauds designed merely to disenfranchise minority and opposition voters: