- Joined
- Jul 10, 2017
- Messages
- 735
- Reaction score
- 0
Agreed. Getting Aldo at this price is tempting for sure, but I'm struggling to see him actually winning this.
Is he going to put Max away? Seems pretty unlikely, Max is extremely durable and outside of the KZ shoulder injury, Aldo hasn't stopped anyone since the Mendes knee in 2012.
Can he win a decision in a 5 round fight against a cardio machine who pushes the pace like Max? I suppose there's an outside chance, but he slowed down a lot in the first fight, so idk how much he can really improve that in only 6 months. I get he was supposedly injured, but his cardio was a question mark in the past as well.
It just seems to me like Holloway is a nightmare matchup for Aldo at this point.
A lot of people of the board including myself (1u) were on Aldo due to the fact he looked pretty good against Edgar so we couldn't argue he was on the decline, the fight was in Brazil and he is essentially the GOAT and lines were pretty close.
Jose Aldo looked good initially in the beginning of the first fight but once Holloway found his rhythm and distance, he broke Aldo down. Holloway's striking is so diverse, the way he works the head and body, the angles he uses, his cardio, pace and volume and his chin. I think he gives people tons of problems with the angles he comes at and then darts back out so he can't be hit and they have essentially identical reaches (Aldo 70' and Holloway 69'). He is in his prime and imo Aldo is in the latter part of his career. I totally agree he is a nightmare matchup for Aldo and now he is flying to the USA to fight and not in front of his home crowd. At his point in his career, what you see is what you get.
I know the ML for Holloway is steep but he wins this fight like 80-90% at this point of their careers, maybe look into Holloway ITD line as a better alternative.