International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V12

[syct23]

what the fuck

Well to be honest,

With the intelligence that Russia has been showcasing in this war, this guy probably could make it through the counter offensive with a few good kills and a medal …

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

The T90s were produced and are being acquired after the war began. They've also increased Lancet drone production. In regards to economy, Im very skeptical of sanctions. Iran didn't collapse economically when Iraq invaded them in 1980s and US helped Iraq and sanctioned Iran. and neither has North Korea. Russian economic growth and contraction prediction show both growth and contraction according to who is predicting https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-rus...rinking-it-depends-on-the-forecaster-41e7af0c

You cant compare the sanctions of 2 different situations besides did you see Putins last interview about the grain deal? He used the grain deal to try to black mail his way out of the sanctions and went on to describe which ones he wanted lifted. If they wernt working I doubt he would play the black mail card which likely wont work.

 

[SandisLL]

Ukraine should hire prisoners. They even might recruit manpower in africa.

 

[San Marino]

Difficult situation.
. https://www.kyivpost.com/post/19707

‘Every 100m cost 4-5 Men’: Ukraine’s frontline fighters report bloody battles, battered morale. Ukraine’s grinding offensive is slowly gaining ground at the price of a continuous flow of dead and wounded. Soldiers say they will fight on, but morale is suffering with no quick end in sight.

Interesting. The beginning of the end for Ukraine. This conflict will not last another 12 months. The media will most certainly cover this fact or spin it to sound better than it really is. The Ukrainian Army has put up a good fight.

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

‘Every 100m cost 4-5 Men’: Ukraine’s frontline fighters report bloody battles, battered morale. Ukraine’s grinding offensive is slowly gaining ground at the price of a continuous flow of dead and wounded. Soldiers say they will fight on, but morale is suffering with no quick end in sight.

Interesting. The beginning of the end for Ukraine. This conflict will not last another 12 months. The media will most certainly cover this fact or spin it to sound better than it really is. The Ukrainian Army has put up a good fight.

You've been literally saying the same thing for a year now, A year ago you were saying UKR would have been finished by now did you not? Because in the civil war the side with the most boots on the ground wins every time right?

 

[SandisLL]

This media too is debatable source.
If we look on pro russian media, some their sources even claimed that had destroyed even more tanks than Ukr ever had on paper....
Pro ukr sources reporting more destroyed russian tanks than Oryx ....etc.

IMHO both sides exaggregate enemy losses....

 

[SandisLL]

Btw I suspect that Ukr instead of real large scale couner offensive might had planned ....to get russia to attempt large scale offensive and then shell them....cluster ammo is good vs human waves and IF Putin will order, such waves will be launched.

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

Reading Peter Zeihans new book




Not looking good

Didnt read it...care to indulge?

 

[Rob Battisti]

Didnt read it...care to indulge?

- demographics indicate that over the next 10-15 years most major economies and countries will be unable to sustain themselves due to aging populations and an inability to replace themselves.(not enough kids. Too many old people)
- Breton Woods essentially collapsed when Soviet Union fell. USA gradually pulling back from policing the oceans.
- Globalization falling apart as demographic collapse means supply chains break. Trade routes are less secure meaning more goods are locally created and utilized.
- Only 4 countries can handle this shift and the rest are more or less F’d. USA France Sweden Australia/New Zealand
- War and Famine inevitable because resources will become less available

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

- demographics indicate that over the next 10-15 years most major economies and countries will be unable to sustain themselves due to aging populations and an inability to replace themselves.(not enough kids. Too many old people)
- Breton Woods essentially collapsed when Soviet Union fell. USA gradually pulling back from policing the oceans.
- Globalization falling apart as demographic collapse means supply chains break. Trade routes are less secure meaning more goods are locally created and utilized.
- Only 4 countries can handle this shift and the rest are more or less F’d. USA France Sweden Australia/New Zealand
- War and Famine inevitable because resources will become less available

May be a bit extreme but partly true. In Canada we are taking in refuges and immigrants at a high rate to the point we have a housing crisis.

 

[San Marino]

You've been literally saying the same thing for a year now, A year ago you were saying UKR would have been finished by now did you not? Because in the civil war the side with the most boots on the ground wins every time right?

I'm surprised you don't have me on 'ignore.'
For a year? No, I don't think so, I did not know how this conflict would turn out 12 months ago. No, I did not say Ukraine would be finished by now. I actually thought Ukraine would have won this conflict by now seeing how poorly the Russians have performed. Indeed, the side that finishes with the stronger Army wins in the majority of times. You seem to have a hard time with this concept. Let us look at historically strong Armies:
. United States
. Soviet Union
. Russia
. China
. France
. Germany
. Britain
. Spain
. Italy (Romans)
. Greece (Spartans)
. North Vietnam
These Armies have also lost major battles and/or wars. - Record for the United States:
. Civil War: Union beats the Confederacy
. Korea: Tie (unfinished conflict)
. Vietnam: Loss
. Gulf War: Win
. Iraq: Loss
. Afghanistan: Loss
The Confederacy started out very strong and lost. Americans in Korea started out very strong and tied. Americans in Vietnam started out very strong and lost. Americans in Iraq started out very strong and lost. Americans in Afghanistan started out very strong and lost. Germany started WWII very strong and lost. 300 Spartans + 6,700 Helots almost beat the entire Persian Army (300,000) at one point but lost - Battle of Thermopylae, 480 BC. About 22 dead Persians for every dead Spartan.

 

[AWilder]

- demographics indicate that over the next 10-15 years most major economies and countries will be unable to sustain themselves due to aging populations and an inability to replace themselves.(not enough kids. Too many old people)
- Breton Woods essentially collapsed when Soviet Union fell. USA gradually pulling back from policing the oceans.
- Globalization falling apart as demographic collapse means supply chains break. Trade routes are less secure meaning more goods are locally created and utilized.
- Only 4 countries can handle this shift and the rest are more or less F’d. USA France Sweden Australia/New Zealand
- War and Famine inevitable because resources will become less available

He's a bit of doomsday kook tho isn't he?

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

I'm surprised you don't have me on 'ignore.'
For a year? No, I don't think so, I did not know how this conflict would turn out 12 months ago. No, I did not say Ukraine would be finished by now. I actually thought Ukraine would have won this conflict by now seeing how poorly the Russians have performed. Indeed, the side that finishes with the stronger Army wins the majority of times. You seem to have a hard time with this concept. Let us look at historically strong Armies:
. United States
. Soviet Union
. Russia
. China
. France
. Germany
. Britain
. Spain
. Italy (Romans)
. Greece (Spartans)
. North Vietnam
These Armies have also lost major battles and/or wars. - Record for the United States:
. Civil War: Union beats the Confederacy
. Korea: Tie (unfinished conflict)
. Vietnam: Loss
. Gulf War: Win
. Iraq: Loss
. Afghanistan: Loss
The Confederacy started out very strong and lost. Americans in Korea started out very strong and tied. Americans in Vietnam started out very strong and lost. Americans in Iraq started out very strong and lost. Americans in Afghanistan started out very strong and lost. Germany started WWII very strong and lost. 300 Spartans + 6,700 Helots almost beat the entire Persian Army (300,000) at one point but lost - Battle of Thermopylae, 480 BC.

Your clearly lying as you had said many times UKR would never last this long ...If we can go back and get all the crap you said 6-12 months ago would be very telling. And your win/loss opinions would be debatable too. UKR was out of soldiers long ago according to you...remember they were recruiting 16 girls because the men were all gne.

 

[Rob Battisti]

He's a bit of doomsday kook tho isn't he?

Far from it. He has a pretty objective perspective and approaches it mainly through historical review and statistics.

Basically, if a country doesn’t have enough kids to replace the generations before it has consequences. There is also a consideration that the last 75 years since the end of WWII was unlike anything in human history. Every single time before then you had what we consider an abnormal amount of turmoil but for human history it was the norm.

Because every country is so interdependent, once shipping transportation is less protected by the United States and as skilled workers retire and eventually fade into Bolivia, you’ll be left with a vacuum. That vacuum cannot be filled because there just aren’t enough people to do it.

Cities and countries always historically were limited by their geographies but since BW things were protected so they could grow bigger than normal. Once BW continues to fade, geography will again play a bigger role and cities will have to normalize back down.

Simply put, if as a country you don’t have waterways, natural resources and young people — you’re F’d.

 

[San Marino]

Your clearly lying as you had said many times UKR would never last this long ...If we can go back and get all the crap you said 6-12 months ago would be very telling. And your win/loss opinions would be debatable too. UKR was out of soldiers long ago according to you...remember they were recruiting 16 girls because the men were all gone.

I think you are full of shit. Not girls, women and old men. Most Ukrainian men have either fled, died, or are fighting in the conflict. Those dead are not being replaced. Still having a hard time with this concept, aren't you? It is called denial. Here is the only thing you understand:
. Russia bad.
. Ukraine good.
. Ukraine will beat Russia, and everything will go back to the way it was.
. Russia will be destroyed, you don't really know how, but of this fact you are very sure. Only an idiot would think otherwise.
. The fact that Russia invaded Ukraine automatically means that they will lose. Only an idiot would think otherwise.
. It is all very simple really. Only an idiot does not understand this. Me, of course, being that idiot. We will see where things stand in another 6 months.

 

[Joe]

Russians have mined nuclear site

 

[Cole train]

Far from it. He has a pretty objective perspective and approaches it mainly through historical review and statistics.

Basically, if a country doesn’t have enough kids to replace the generations before it has consequences. There is also a consideration that the last 75 years since the end of WWII was unlike anything in human history. Every single time before then you had what we consider an abnormal amount of turmoil but for human history it was the norm.

Because every country is so interdependent, once shipping transportation is less protected by the United States and as skilled workers retire and eventually fade into Bolivia, you’ll be left with a vacuum. That vacuum cannot be filled because there just aren’t enough people to do it.

Cities and countries always historically were limited by their geographies but since BW things were protected so they could grow bigger than normal. Once BW continues to fade, geography will again play a bigger role and cities will have to normalize back down.

Simply put, if as a country you don’t have waterways, natural resources and young people — you’re F’d.

 

[Cid]

is this website the military version of the world socialist webstie. That website is... quite a hoot.

LMAO so i dug a little and this is just some weirdo Iranian dude's blog that he claims is a magazine. There's zero named members of the editorial board. All articles are ripped word for word from RT and other state sponsored "news" outlets from other countries like China and even North Korea. Dude, I wouldn't repeat anything you read there. lmao.

The title of the article was enough for me:

Russian Army Receives New T-90M and T-72B3M Tanks: Wartime Production Surge Meets Frontline Requirements

 

[Rob Battisti]

I’m a nutshell, exactly.

 

[Lonesome Crow]

- demographics indicate that over the next 10-15 years most major economies and countries will be unable to sustain themselves due to aging populations and an inability to replace themselves.(not enough kids. Too many old people)
- Breton Woods essentially collapsed when Soviet Union fell. USA gradually pulling back from policing the oceans.
- Globalization falling apart as demographic collapse means supply chains break. Trade routes are less secure meaning more goods are locally created and utilized.
- Only 4 countries can handle this shift and the rest are more or less F’d. USA France Sweden Australia/New Zealand
- War and Famine inevitable because resources will become less available

I like Peter Zeihan, but with him you always have to keep in mind that while he doesn't state anything that's factually incorrect, he does cherry-pick the facts to fit his preferred narrative.

Bretton Woods is a perfect example of this. Zeihan references this monetary management system quite a bit. What he doesn't tell you is that the principal architect of Bretton Woods was a man by the name of Harry Dexter White. Harry Dexter White was a Soviet spy. This is a known fact verified by the NSA, the FBI, ex-KGB agents who came in out of the cold after the Cold War, and historians who had access to his personal papers.

The idea that a Soviet spy would design an economic/monetary system dominated by America is stupid.

Bretton Woods ended when we ended it. Paul Volker designed the gun, Nixon pulled the trigger, and Bretton Woods was killed on August 15, 1971.

Zeihan is good to use as a spring board to find out more about certain topics, but he's not the be all and end all. And like most prognosticators he gets way more wrong than he does right.